US / Euro Foreign Exchange Rate
Why Use This Data Source In Your Models?
Incorporating the U.S. Dollar to Euro foreign exchange rate into your models is crucial for assessing the economic health and GDP performance of both the United States and European Union countries. This exchange rate serves as a key indicator, reflecting the strength of both economies and their relative competitiveness in global markets. Fluctuations in the exchange rate provide insights into investor sentiment, capital flows, and market trends, influencing trade dynamics and investment decisions between the U.S. and EU. Additionally, changes in the exchange rate may indicate shifts in monetary policy by the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank, impacting inflation, interest rates, and overall economic conditions in both regions. Overall, the U.S. Dollar to Euro exchange rate plays a vital role in economic analysis and decision-making, offering valuable insights into the intertwined economic fortunes of the United States and the European Union.
US / Euro Foreign Exchange Rate
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Suggested Treatment:
Grain Transformation:
Source:
Board of Governors of Fed Reserve System
Release:
Foreign Exchange Rate
Units:
U.S. Dollars to One Euro, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency:
Daily
Available Through:
05/02/2025
Suggested Treatment:
The data shows auto correlation and a non-normal distribution. The data should be differenced. While the Order Norm transformation, provides the best normality, the Yeo Johnson variable will also perform well.
Grain Transformation:
Data is unable to be distributed by time or geography. The roll up method used is Weighted Average.
Auto Correlation Analysis:
Data shows auto correlation indicating a need for differencing
The ACF indicates 1 order differencing is appropriate.
Further differencing is reccommended
Trend Analysis:
The Kwiatkowski-Phillips-Schmidt-Shin (KPSS) test, KPSS Trend = 2.27 p-value = 0.01 indicates that the data is not stationary.
Distribution Analysis:
The Shapiro-Wilk test returned W = 0.95 with a p-value =0.00 indicating the data does not follow a normal distribution.
A skewness score of 0.47 indicates the data are fairly symmetrical.
Hartigan's dip test score of 0.02 with a p-value of 0.00 inidcates the data is multimodal
Statistics (Pearson P/ df, lower => more normal)
Auto Correlation Function
Auto Correlation Function After Differencing
Partial Auto Correlation Function
Seasonal Impact
Seasonal and Trend Decompostion
Citation:
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), U.S. / Euro Foreign Exchange Rate [DEXUSEU], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DEXUSEU, December 15, 2019.