Why Use This Data Source In Your Models?
The dollar amount of commercial and industrial loans given in a week measures the availability of capital in commercial banks and business' desire for extra capital. This indicates the stability and growth of the economy as a whole.
Commercial Banks Loans - Seas Adj
Source:
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve
Release:
Commercial and Industrial Loans
Units:
Billions of U.S. Dollars
Frequency:
Weekly, Ending Wednesday
Available Through:
01/24/2023
Suggested Treatment:
The data shows auto correlation and a non-normal distribution. The data should be differenced. While the Order Norm transformation, provides the best normality, the Boxcox variable will also perform well.
Grain Transformation:
Data is able to be distributed by time but not by geography. The roll up method used is Sum.
Data shows auto correlation indicating a need for differencing
The ACF indicates 1 order differencing is appropriate.
Further differencing is reccommended
The Kwiatkowski-Phillips-Schmidt-Shin (KPSS) test, KPSS Trend = 0.35 p-value = 0.01 indicates that the data is not stationary.
The Shapiro-Wilk test returned W = 0.97 with a p-value =0.00 indicating the data does not follow a normal distribution.
A skewness score of 0.01 indicates the data are fairly symmetrical.
Hartigan's dip test score of 0.04 with a p-value of 0.00 inidcates the data is multimodal
Auto Correlation Function
Auto Correlation Function After Differencing
Partial Auto Correlation Function
Seasonal Impact
Seasonal and Trend Decompostion
Citation:
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Commercial and Industrial Loans, All Commercial Banks [TOTCI], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/TOTCI, November 11, 2019.
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