China / US Foreign Exchange Rate
Why Use This Data Source In Your Models?
Incorporating the Chinese Yuan to U.S. Dollar Spot Exchange Rate into models is vital for analyzing trade dynamics, managing currency risk, and forecasting financial outcomes. China's significant role in the global economy makes this exchange rate essential for understanding international trade dynamics, investor confidence, and market trends. Managed by the People's Bank of China, fluctuations in the exchange rate reflect adjustments in monetary policy, impacting inflation, interest rates, and economic conditions. With China's immense economic influence and export-oriented economy, changes in the exchange rate directly affect trade competitiveness and signal broader economic trends in the Asia-Pacific region, making it indispensable for economic analysis and decision-making.
China / US Foreign Exchange Rate
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Automated Data Profiling
Suggested Treatment:
Grain Transformation:
Source:
Board of Governors of Fed Reserve System
Release:
Foreign Exchange Rate
Units:
Chinese Yuan to One U.S. Dollar, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency:
Daily
Available Through:
05/02/2025
Suggested Treatment:
The data shows auto correlation and a non-normal distribution. The data should be differenced. While the Order Norm transformation, provides the best normality, the Yeo Johnson variable will also perform well.
Grain Transformation:
Data is unable to be distributed by time or geography. The roll up method used is Weighted Average.
Auto Correlation Analysis:
Data shows auto correlation indicating a need for differencing
The ACF indicates 1 order differencing is appropriate.
Following first order differencing, no further differencing is required based on the differenced ACF at lag one of -0.02
Trend Analysis:
The Kwiatkowski-Phillips-Schmidt-Shin (KPSS) test, KPSS Trend = 2.06 p-value = 0.01 indicates that the data is not stationary.
Distribution Analysis:
The Shapiro-Wilk test returned W = 0.95 with a p-value =0.00 indicating the data does not follow a normal distribution.
A skewness score of 0.36 indicates the data are fairly symmetrical.
Hartigan's dip test score of 0.02 with a p-value of 0.00 inidcates the data is multimodal
Statistics (Pearson P/ df, lower => more normal)
Auto Correlation Function
Auto Correlation Function After Differencing
Partial Auto Correlation Function
Seasonal Impact
Seasonal and Trend Decompostion
Citation:
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), China / U.S. Foreign Exchange Rate [DEXCHUS], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DEXCHUS, December 15, 2019.